Analysis


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Fundamental and Technical Outlook: NZD/CAD

Fundamental and Technical Outlook: NZD/CAD

🕔November 2, 2016

Fundamental Outlook: NZD/CAD

Early in the Asia-Pacific session, we saw the release of New Zealand employment data which beat expectations across the board with Employment Change printing at 1.4% versus expectations of 0.6% and the Unemployment Rate declining to 4.9% versus expectations of 5.1%.…

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Fundamental and Technical Outlook: AUD/JPY

Fundamental and Technical Outlook: AUD/JPY

🕔November 1, 2016

Fundamental Outlook: AUD/JPY

During the Asia-Pacific session, Chinese Manufacturing PMI and Caixin Manufacturing PMI both beat expectations at 51.2, supporting commodity-linked currencies. AUD was then further bolstered by an unwinding of outside bets as the RBA decided to remain on hold.…

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Fundamental and Technical Outlook: AUD/JPY

Fundamental and Technical Outlook: AUD/JPY

🕔October 28, 2016

Fundamental Outlook: AUD/JPY

The main event during the Asia-Pacific session was Japanese inflation data. National CPI and National Core CPI remained unchanged at -0.5% with Tokyo CPI slightly beating expectations at 0.1% for the headline and -0.4% for the core versus expectations of -0.5% for both data points.…

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Fundamental and Technical Outlook: AUD/NZD

Fundamental and Technical Outlook: AUD/NZD

🕔October 26, 2016

Fundamental Outlook: AUD/NZD

During the Asia-Pacific session, the main event was Australian CPI which saw headline CPI beat expectations at 0.7% q/q versus 0.5% expected and 1.3% y/y versus 1.1% expected. The RBA’s core measures of inflation weren’t quite as upbeat with Weighted Mean CPI slightly missing expectations at 0.3% q/q versus 0.4% expected and 1.3% y/y versus 1.4% expected.…

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Fundamental and Technical Outlook: EUR/CAD

Fundamental and Technical Outlook: EUR/CAD

🕔October 25, 2016

Fundamental Outlook: EUR/CAD

During the Asia-Pacific session, the focus has been on CAD following comments from Governor Poloz who stated that the “best plan is to wait 18-months” which saw USDCAD decline to below 1.33 before paring most of its gains after Poloz clarified this was in regards to the output gap and not monetary policy.…

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Fundamental and Technical Outlook: EUR/USD

Fundamental and Technical Outlook: EUR/USD

🕔October 21, 2016

Fundamental Outlook: EUR/USD

There was no tier 1 data or news of note during the Asia-Pacific session. USD has remained firm against its major counterparts with EURUSD continuing its decline, currently testing the 1.09 handle. There is no tier 1 data due in today’s London session with today’s main event being Canadian CPI later in the New York session.…

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Fundamental and Technical Outlook: EUR/JPY

Fundamental and Technical Outlook: EUR/JPY

🕔October 19, 2016

Fundamental Outlook: EUR/JPY

During the London session, UK jobs data beat expectations, suggesting that the labour market was largely unaffected to this point by Britain’s decision to leave the EU in June. The unemployment rate held at 4.9%, unchanged from the previous period and wages continued to grow, up by 2.3%.…

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Fundamental and Technical Outlook: NZD/JPY

Fundamental and Technical Outlook: NZD/JPY
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🕔October 18, 2016

Fundamental Outlook: NZD/JPY

During the Asia-Pacific session, New Zealand CPI for Q3 beat expectations at 0.2% for both the q/q and y/y readings versus expectations of 0.0% and 0.1% respectively. We also saw the release of the RBA Minutes from their October 4 meeting where the RBA stated that “members judged holding rates at the meeting was consistent with inflation and growth targets”.…

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Fundamental and Technical Outlook: GBP/USD

Fundamental and Technical Outlook: GBP/USD

🕔October 12, 2016

Fundamental Outlook: GBP/USD

During the Asia-Pacific session, the focus was once again on GBP with reports stating that UK Prime Minister May has accepted that parliament should be allowed to vote on her Brexit proposals. This has helped alleviate some of the concerns surrounding the impending Brexit where Article 50 and the official exit negotiations are due to start in March 2017.…

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RBNZ’s John McDermott Expects Rebound in Inflation

RBNZ’s John McDermott Expects Rebound in Inflation

🕔October 11, 2016

The Central Bank Assistant Governor John McDermott expressed on Tuesday that the New Zealand inflation rate is expected to rally in the fourth quarter, back to the lower end of the Reserve Bank of New Zealand’s targeted objective.

“In New Zealand, tradable inflation, which accounts for almost half of the CPI regimen, has been negative for the past four years,” McDermott said in prepared remarks at the Bay of Plenty Employers and Manufacturers Association in Rotorua on Tuesday.…

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