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BOE Cuts Interest Rate to 0.25%

By Xinyang August 4, 2016
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Bank-Of-England

The Bank of England MPC voted unanimously to cut interest rate to 0.25% on August 4th 2016, the first rate cut in seven years, in order to provide additional support to growth and to achieve a sustainable return of inflation to 2% target. The Committee voted also to increase the stock of purchased assets to £435 billion.

The Bank’s intervention to shore up confidence with this new package was welcomed by the chancellor, Philip Hammond.

He said in a statement: “The vote to leave the EU has created a period of uncertainty, which will be followed by a period of adjustment as the shape of our new relationship with the EU becomes clear and the economy responds to that.

“It’s right that monetary policy is used to support the economy through this period of adjustment.”

 
Excerpts from the Monetary Policy Summary:


The cut in Bank Rate will lower borrowing costs for households and businesses. However, as interest rates are close to zero, it is likely to be difficult for some banks and building societies to reduce deposit rates much further, which in turn might limit their ability to cut their lending rates. In order to mitigate this, the MPC is launching a Term Funding Scheme (TFS) that will provide funding for banks at interest rates close to Bank Rate. This monetary policy action should help reinforce the transmission of the reduction in Bank Rate to the real economy to ensure that households and firms benefit from the MPC’s actions.


The expansion of the Bank of England’s asset purchase programme for UK government bonds will impart monetary stimulus by lowering the yields on securities that are used to determine the cost of borrowing for households and businesses. It is also likely to trigger portfolio rebalancing into riskier assets by current holders of government bonds, further enhancing the supply of credit to the broader economy.


As set out in the August Inflation Report, conditional on this package of measures, the MPC expects that by the three-year forecast horizon unemployment will have begun to fall back and that much of the economy’s spare capacity will have been re-absorbed, while inflation will be a little above the 2% target. In those projections the cumulative growth in output is still around 2½% less at the end of the forecast period than in the MPC’s May projections. Much of this reflects a downward revision to potential supply that monetary policy cannot offset.  However, monetary policy can provide support as the economy adjusts.



The MPC can act further along each of the dimensions of the package by lowering Bank Rate, by expanding the TFS to reinforce further the monetary transmission mechanism, and by expanding the scale or variety of asset purchases. If the incoming data prove broadly consistent with the August Inflation Report forecast, a majority of members expect to support a further cut in Bank Rate to its effective lower bound at one of the MPC’s forthcoming meetings during the course of the year.  The MPC currently judges this bound to be close to, but a little above, zero.




 

 

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By Xinyang August 4, 2016
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